Please contact us for the latest report (free) – we update this monthly.
Key Risk Factors We Monitor in the UK Residential Development (2026–2028)
- Risk vectors
- Fragility points
- Where models break
- What assumptions we refuse to underwrite
- How we adjust structures in response
“This is not a forecast. This is a summary of the key risk variables we are currently underwriting and stress-testing across new opportunities”
Section 1 — Capital Markets Risk
- Cost of capital volatility
- Refinance risk
- Exit liquidity assumptions
- Sensitivity to 50–100 bps shifts
Section 2 — Construction & Delivery Risk
- Contractor balance sheet stress
- Fixed-price illusion vs reality
- Programme slippage in 2026 pipelines
Section 3 — Planning & Regulatory Risk
- Gateways
- BNG/CIL timing
- Local authority behaviour shifts
Section 4 — Demand & Absorption Risk
- We are underwriting slower absorption and longer stabilisation periods
Our focus is not on predicting outcomes, but on structuring projects that remain viable across a range of downside scenarios.
